Eye on Tropical Storm Franklin

August 06 23:11 2017 Print This Article

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Tropical Storm Franklin will bring heavy rain to Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula Monday and Tuesday.

An area in the eastern Atlantic is also being monitored for tropical development.

There have been five Atlantic tropical storms so far this season.

August is historically the beginning of the annual ramp up of hurricane season in the Atlantic, and right on cue, Tropical Storm Franklin has formed in the western Caribbean.

Franklin is expected to be a rainmaker, but it has the potential to quickly be a wind producer too.

 

Mexican Rainmaker: Tropical Storm Franklin

Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center:

  • Tropical Storm Franklin has formed about 380 miles east-southeast of the Chetumal, Mexico.
  • The system is forecast to strengthen over the next couple of days.
  • Heavy rain is expected to be the main threat, but gusty winds and increased seas are also likely.
  • Franklin should stay well south of the Mexico/Texas border.
  • Tropical storm warnings have been issued for Mexico from Chetumal northward and around the Yucatan Peninsula to Campeche.

Current Storm Status

The highest cloud tops, corresponding to the most vigorous convection, are shown in the brightest red colors. Clustering, deep convection around the center is a sign of a healthy tropical cyclone.

Shower and thunderstorm activity has continued to organize in association with Franklin as it moves through the western Caribbean Sea. A backward “C” shape has developed on satellite as of Sunday evening, indicating that the system is organizing and is intensifying.

The environment around Franklin is improving and it is likely that the system will become a robust tropical storm before reaching the Yucatan peninsula. There is an outside shot that Franklin could become a hurricane prior to landfall.

The hurricane hunters will fly a reconnaissance mission into Franklin on Monday, if necessary, to figure out how strong winds have gotten.

In the near-term, Tropical Storm Franklin will bring locally heavy rain and gusty winds to the Cayman Islands and Honduras into early Monday. Belize and the eastern Mexican coasts should expect rainfall to begin midday Monday with rainfall spreading inland through the day.

The northwestern Caribbean and the southwestern Gulf of Mexico will likely see an increase in stormy weather early this week, which may result in locally heavy rainfall and flooding for Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula and Central America.

Tropical storm warnings have been issued for Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in Belize from Belize City northward to the Mexican border and along Mexico’s Gulf of Mexico coast from south of Campeche to Sabancuy.

Winds of 40 mph or greater may begin in the Yucatan peninsula as soon as Monday afternoon.

A tropical storm warning means that winds in excess of 40 mph are expected within 36 hours and that preparations for the storm should be rushed to completion.

A tropical storm watch means that winds in excess of 40 mph are possible over the next 48 hours.

Residents of the Yucatan Peninsula can expect 3 to 6 inches of rain with locally higher amounts. The northeastern coast of Mexico will likely see rainfall amounts in excess of 3 inches through Thursday.

In addition to the heavy rain, seas will also increase to choppy conditions north and east of the tropical storm’s center. Waves in excess of 10 feet could reach the eastern Yucatan coast, including Cozumel and Cancun, by mid to late day Tuesday. Northeastern Mexico will see seas increase during the middle of the week to more than 12 feet.

Seas will increase in southern Texas on Wednesday and Thursday. The threat of rip currents will also increase in southern Texas and northern Mexico.

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